{"id":3317,"date":"2017-05-23T18:19:36","date_gmt":"2017-05-23T16:19:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/?p=3317"},"modified":"2026-05-23T18:20:38","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T16:20:38","slug":"who-voted-for-each-candidate-chilean-elections-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/23\/who-voted-for-each-candidate-chilean-elections-2017\/","title":{"rendered":"Who voted for each candidate? (Chilean Elections 2017)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last Sunday, the president of Chile was elected, so many pundits tried to explain how the votes from the first round were distributed to the second round. Since the vote is secret, no one can be wrong.<\/p>\n<p>That is why I decided to take a different approach from the standard one, resorting to a mathematical model made very quickly on that same Sunday, thus publishing on Monday the article: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.geekosas.com\/index.php\/2017\/12\/18\/estimacion-repartija-de-votos-segunda-vuelta-presidenciales-chile-2017\/\">Estimation of vote distribution in the second round of the Chilean presidential elections 2017<\/a>, from which I received a lot of feedback that I incorporated into this &quot;improved&quot; version.<\/p>\n<p>First, let&#8217;s understand the problem. In the first round, there were 8 candidates, and the votes were distributed as follows:<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2279\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/es\/2017\/12\/23\/quien-voto-por-cada-candidato\/votos_pv\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_pv.png?fit=819%2C548&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"819,548\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"votos_pv\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_pv.png?fit=819%2C548&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2279\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_pv.png?resize=819%2C548\" alt=\"\" width=\"819\" height=\"548\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_pv.png?w=819&amp;ssl=1 819w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_pv.png?resize=300%2C201&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_pv.png?resize=768%2C514&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_pv.png?resize=120%2C80&amp;ssl=1 120w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>While in the second round between Pi\u00f1era and Guillier, the votes were distributed as follows:<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2280\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/es\/2017\/12\/23\/quien-voto-por-cada-candidato\/votos_sv\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_sv.png?fit=819%2C548&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"819,548\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"votos_sv\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_sv.png?fit=819%2C548&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2280\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_sv.png?resize=819%2C548\" alt=\"\" width=\"819\" height=\"548\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_sv.png?w=819&amp;ssl=1 819w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_sv.png?resize=300%2C201&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_sv.png?resize=768%2C514&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/votos_sv.png?resize=120%2C80&amp;ssl=1 120w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>We know which region the votes come from, commune, polling place, all available on the SERVE website, but what everyone is curious about is: how were the votes from the first round distributed in the second round?<\/p>\n<p>For this, I made a mathematical model that led me to the following result (where total_pv represents new voters):<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2308\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/es\/2017\/12\/23\/quien-voto-por-cada-candidato\/totales_por_candidato\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?fit=2400%2C1800&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2400,1800\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"totales_por_candidato\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?fit=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-2308\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato-1024x768.png?resize=810%2C608\" alt=\"\" width=\"810\" height=\"608\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?resize=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?resize=880%2C660&amp;ssl=1 880w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?w=2000&amp;ssl=1 2000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Now I will explain how I arrived at that result:<\/p>\n<h3>Methodology<\/h3>\n<h4>Creating the Dataset:<\/h4>\n<p>On the SERVE website (<a href=\"http:\/\/pv.servelelecciones.cl\/\">http:\/\/pv.servelelecciones.cl\/<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.servelelecciones.cl\/\">http:\/\/www.servelelecciones.cl\/<\/a>), the votes by polling table are published, so I built a web scraper to download the votes by table, thus creating a dataset (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/dataset.xlsx\">available here<\/a>) with the following columns:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>region: Region<\/li>\n<li>circ_sen: Senatorial District<\/li>\n<li>distrito: District<\/li>\n<li>comuna: Commune<\/li>\n<li>circ_elec: Electoral District<\/li>\n<li>local_vot: Polling Place<\/li>\n<li>mesa: Polling Table<\/li>\n<li>goic_pv: Number of votes received by Goic in the first round<\/li>\n<li>kast_pv: Number of votes received by Kast in the first round<\/li>\n<li>pinera_pv: Number of votes received by Pi\u00f1era in the first round<\/li>\n<li>guillier_pv: Number of votes received by Guillier in the first round<\/li>\n<li>sanchez_pv: Number of votes received by S\u00e1nchez in the first round<\/li>\n<li>meo_pv: Number of votes received by MEO in the first round<\/li>\n<li>artes_pv: Number of votes received by Art\u00e9s in the first round<\/li>\n<li>navarro_pv: Number of votes received by Navarro in the first round<\/li>\n<li>nulos_pv: Number of null votes in the first round<\/li>\n<li>blanco_pv: Number of blank votes in the first round<\/li>\n<li>noVoto_pv: Number of people who did not vote in the first round<\/li>\n<li>pinera_sv: Number of votes received by Pi\u00f1era in the second round<\/li>\n<li>guillier_sv: Number of votes received by Guillier in the second round<\/li>\n<li>nulos_sv: Number of null votes in the second round<\/li>\n<li>blancos_sv: Number of blank votes in the second round<\/li>\n<li>noVoto_sv: Number of people who did not vote in the second round<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Methodology<\/h4>\n<p>In each region, we will use the results of each polling table to perform a regression that will allow us to estimate the percentages of votes that went to each candidate in the second round. The models would be as follows:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>pinera_sv = %votes_goic_pinera*goic_pv + %votes_kast_pinera*kast_pv + &#8230; + %noVoto_pinera*noVoto_pv<\/li>\n<li>guillier_sv = %votes_goic_guillier*goic_pv + %votes_kast_guillier*kast_pv + &#8230; + %noVoto_guillier*noVoto_pv<\/li>\n<li>nulos_sv = %votes_goic_nulos*goic_pv + %votes_kast_nulos*kast_pv + &#8230; + %noVoto_nulos*noVoto_pv<\/li>\n<li>blancos_sv = %votes_goic_blancos*goic_pv + %votes_kast_blancos*kast_pv + &#8230; + %noVoto_blancos*noVoto_pv<\/li>\n<li>noVoto_sv = %votes_goic_noVoto*goic_pv + %votes_kast_noVoto*kast_pv + &#8230; + %noVoto_noVoto*noVoto_pv<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>But for the model to make sense, we must constrain the estimated percentages. The constraints are as follows:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>All percentages are positive (greater than 0).<\/li>\n<li>The sum of the percentages transferred must equal 100%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We calibrate the model using R with the CVXR package (code attached at the end).<\/p>\n<h4>Results<\/h4>\n<p>The regression was run by region and a percentage per region was obtained, but at the national level, the votes of each candidate in the first round were distributed as follows (total_pv represents the percentage of new people who voted in the second round):<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2309\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/es\/2017\/12\/23\/quien-voto-por-cada-candidato\/porcentajes_por_candidato\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/porcentajes_por_candidato.png?fit=2400%2C1800&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2400,1800\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"porcentajes_por_candidato\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/porcentajes_por_candidato.png?fit=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-2309\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/porcentajes_por_candidato-1024x768.png?resize=810%2C608\" alt=\"\" width=\"810\" height=\"608\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/porcentajes_por_candidato.png?resize=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/porcentajes_por_candidato.png?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/porcentajes_por_candidato.png?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/porcentajes_por_candidato.png?resize=880%2C660&amp;ssl=1 880w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/porcentajes_por_candidato.png?w=2000&amp;ssl=1 2000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The conclusions are several:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Those who voted for Pi\u00f1era and Guillier repeated their vote.<\/li>\n<li>Pi\u00f1era failed to capture 100% of Kast&#8217;s votes, probably due to his shift to the center.<\/li>\n<li>A little less than half of S\u00e1nchez&#8217;s votes did not vote in the second round. This may be because the Frente Amplio called for not voting for Pi\u00f1era, but not for voting for Guillier. Another way to see it is that the Frente Amplio is the left wing tired of the Nueva Mayor\u00eda.<\/li>\n<li>Art\u00e9s and Navarro gave all their votes to Guillier.<\/li>\n<li>Goic and MEO voters voted less in the second round, but showed a preference for Guillier.<\/li>\n<li>Pi\u00f1era managed to capture more new voters than Guillier.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This same graph seen in number of votes instead of percentage looks as follows (total_pv represents the number of new people who voted in the second round):<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2310\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/es\/2017\/12\/23\/quien-voto-por-cada-candidato\/totales_por_candidato2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato2.png?fit=2400%2C1800&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2400,1800\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"totales_por_candidato2\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato2.png?fit=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-2310\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato2-1024x768.png?resize=810%2C608\" alt=\"\" width=\"810\" height=\"608\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato2.png?resize=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato2.png?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato2.png?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato2.png?resize=880%2C660&amp;ssl=1 880w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato2.png?w=2000&amp;ssl=1 2000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It can be seen that the bulk of Pi\u00f1era&#8217;s votes came first from his votes in the first round, then from new voters, and finally from Kast&#8217;s votes.<\/p>\n<p>Now if we look at the votes overlapped according to their origin (total_pv represents the number of new people who voted in the second round):<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2308\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/es\/2017\/12\/23\/quien-voto-por-cada-candidato\/totales_por_candidato\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?fit=2400%2C1800&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2400,1800\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"totales_por_candidato\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?fit=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-2308\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato-1024x768.png?resize=810%2C608\" alt=\"\" width=\"810\" height=\"608\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?resize=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?resize=880%2C660&amp;ssl=1 880w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/totales_por_candidato.png?w=2000&amp;ssl=1 2000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 810px) 100vw, 810px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It can be seen that if the Frente Amplio (S\u00e1nchez) had voted for Guillier (doubling the width of purple), they might have reached Pi\u00f1era. On the other hand, Pi\u00f1era could have won without Kast&#8217;s votes, but it would have been very tight.<\/p>\n<p>In the end, the election result was due to the new voters (noVoto_pv) and to the fact that the Frente Amplio did not vote in the second round.<\/p>\n<p>Greetings!<\/p>\n<p>PS: The analysis result files are in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Presidenciales.zip\">Presidenciales<\/a>. You will need to download <a href=\"https:\/\/sites.google.com\/a\/chromium.org\/chromedriver\/downloads\">chromedriver<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/phantomjs.org\/\">phantomjs<\/a> to run the web scraping.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Last Sunday, the president of Chile was elected, so many pundits tried to explain how the votes from the first round were distributed to the <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/23\/who-voted-for-each-candidate-chilean-elections-2017\/\" title=\"Who voted for each candidate? (Chilean Elections 2017)\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2287,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sin-categoria"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/1511132848-untitled-collage-3.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8vjqF-Rv","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":3314,"url":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/23\/estimation-of-vote-distribution-in-the-second-round-of-the-chilean-presidential-elections-2017\/","url_meta":{"origin":3317,"position":0},"title":"Estimation of vote distribution in the second round of the Chilean presidential elections 2017","author":"Daniel Fischer","date":"2017-05-23","format":false,"excerpt":"This article was made in a hurry and with little data; the definitive one is at Who voted for each candidate? After the first round of the Chilean presidential elections, it is traditional for each candidate to begin \"auctioning off\" the votes of their followers to the candidate they feel\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sin categor\u00eda&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Sin categor\u00eda","link":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/category\/sin-categoria\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/segunda-vuelta.jpg?fit=710%2C399&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/segunda-vuelta.jpg?fit=710%2C399&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/segunda-vuelta.jpg?fit=710%2C399&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/segunda-vuelta.jpg?fit=710%2C399&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3227,"url":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/13\/como-se-repartieron-los-votos-en-la-segunda-vuelta-en-chile\/","url_meta":{"origin":3317,"position":1},"title":"How were the votes distributed in the runoff election in Chile?","author":"Daniel Fischer","date":"2026-05-13","format":false,"excerpt":"Acknowledgments: I would like to begin this article by thanking Hernan Aburto (huaburto@gmail.com) for his assistance. We worked together to refine the model and polish the conclusions. His version of the article on his blog: https:\/\/www.grialprofano.cl\/flyto\/97\/que-paso-con-los-votos-de-la-primera-vuelta-en-el-balotaje\/ How were the votes distributed? In the most recent elections held on Sunday, December\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sin categor\u00eda&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Sin categor\u00eda","link":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/category\/sin-categoria\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/FRCN3F5FY6BYLWSLIY4NSVWH5E.jpg?fit=900%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/FRCN3F5FY6BYLWSLIY4NSVWH5E.jpg?fit=900%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/FRCN3F5FY6BYLWSLIY4NSVWH5E.jpg?fit=900%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/FRCN3F5FY6BYLWSLIY4NSVWH5E.jpg?fit=900%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3288,"url":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/23\/parking-law\/","url_meta":{"origin":3317,"position":2},"title":"Parking Law","author":"Daniel Fischer","date":"2017-05-23","format":false,"excerpt":"In Chile, on February 15 (correct me if I'm wrong), the parking law was enacted, which among other things requires parking companies to: Compensate customers who are victims of theft. Prohibit fines for lost tickets. Choose one of the following two pricing methods: Charge per minute actually used. Charge per\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sin categor\u00eda&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Sin categor\u00eda","link":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/category\/sin-categoria\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/1487175020-auno760729.jpg?fit=799%2C533&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/1487175020-auno760729.jpg?fit=799%2C533&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/1487175020-auno760729.jpg?fit=799%2C533&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/1487175020-auno760729.jpg?fit=799%2C533&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3266,"url":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/2016\/05\/23\/about-linux\/","url_meta":{"origin":3317,"position":3},"title":"About Linux","author":"Daniel Fischer","date":"2016-05-23","format":false,"excerpt":"If one morning you wake up with the inspiration to discover something new and you click the Random Article button on Wikipedia, with a probability of 1\/1,233,000 you will land on the article about Linux. If you want to wait for that event, you can keep trying; if not, you\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sin categor\u00eda&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Sin categor\u00eda","link":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/category\/sin-categoria\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/linux.png?fit=387%2C442&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":3308,"url":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/23\/linux-course\/","url_meta":{"origin":3317,"position":4},"title":"Linux Course","author":"Daniel Fischer","date":"2017-05-23","format":false,"excerpt":"I will be giving a Linux Course on Friday 2017-12-01 organized by MetricArts and Microsoft. We will have a Linux course in which we will interactively cover the following topics: What is Linux History of Linux and Family Tree The Linux Ecosystem Different Distributions Differences Between Distributions Linux Graphical Environments\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sin categor\u00eda&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Sin categor\u00eda","link":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/category\/sin-categoria\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/linux.png?fit=387%2C442&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":3285,"url":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/2017\/05\/23\/video-games-and-statistics\/","url_meta":{"origin":3317,"position":5},"title":"Video Games and Statistics","author":"Daniel Fischer","date":"2017-05-23","format":false,"excerpt":"The video game industry has grown exponentially. New game genres, new business models, new types of gamers, and new devices for playing have been created, but what hasn't changed is that so\u2011called triple\u2011A games still exist. Triple\u2011A games are characterized by belonging to companies with a large budget to invest\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sin categor\u00eda&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Sin categor\u00eda","link":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/category\/sin-categoria\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fifa-300x121.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fifa-300x121.jpg?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fifa-300x121.jpg?resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.geekosas.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/fifa-300x121.jpg?resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3317","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3317"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3317\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3318,"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3317\/revisions\/3318"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2287"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3317"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3317"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geekosas.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3317"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}